Russlands invasjon av Ukraina [Ny tråd, les førstepost]

[50z]

Ser ut som Tendra Spit operasjonen var bare ett kort raid.
https://english.nv.ua/nation/hur-secret-missions-on-occupied-tendra-spit-are-aimed-at-achieving-long-term-results-50441198.html

[bojangles]

 

 

 

Spoiler

I denne videoen gir Dennis en oppdatering om den nåværende situasjonen i Ukraina. Han rapporterer at Ukraina har tatt mer kontroll over russisk territorium, og situasjonen utvikler seg så raskt at det er vanskelig å følge med. Han sammenligner utviklingen med det som skjedde sommeren og høsten 2022, da Ukraina var svært vellykket i Kharkiv-regionen.

Ukrainske styrker har brutt gjennom to av de viktigste russiske forsvarslinjene i området, og det ser ut til at det ikke er mange linjer igjen som kan holde den ukrainske hæren tilbake. Ukrainas suksess avhenger nå mer av tilgangen på forsyninger enn av russisk motstand. Det er viktig for Ukraina å sikre forsyningslinjene for å fortsette fremrykket.

Dennis viser også til oppdateringer fra militære kart, hvor det bekreftes at ukrainske styrker har utvidet sitt kontrollområde. Ukraina har også begynt å grave seg ned for å sikre kontrollen over de nylig erobrede områdene, noe som indikerer at de planlegger å bli der over lengre tid.

Videre nevner han en eksplosjon ved et russisk luftfelt, som indikerer at Ukraina har gjennomført flere vellykkede angrep. Dennis diskuterer også utfordringene med å ta kontroll over et russisk kjernekraftverk, noe som ville kreve betydelige ressurser og forsyninger.

Til slutt kommenterer han på hvordan russiske styrker sliter med organisering og motstand i Kursk-regionen, og nevner at Ukraina har begynt å bruke helikoptre i denne regionen. Dennis avslutter med å bemerke at den russiske hæren er i sjokk over den ukrainske fremgangen, og at Russland nå står overfor store utfordringer i sin militære operasjon.

 

[Brother Ursus]

Just now, 50z said:

Ser ut som Tendra Spit operasjonen var bare ett kort raid.

Ja, det er nærmest bare en lang sandbank. Og den er veldig "slank", så det går nok ikke an å bli stående der. Men russerne hadde EW og luftvern der og noen få styrker for å vokte.

[Dragavon]

 

[Brother Ursus]

Det ser også ut til å være ukrainske styrkeoppbygninger ikke bare i nord mot Kursk, men også Kharkiv og Donetsk.

[Brother Ursus]

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-09/russia-braces-for-war-driven-economy-to-run-out-of-steam

Russia War Economy Set for Sharp Slowdown After Second Quarter

• Growth is likely to halve in second half of year, analysts say
• Huge government defense spending helped drive wartime growth

Russia’s overheating economy fueled by massive Kremlin spending on its invasion of Ukraine may be about to cool sharply amid mounting constraints on key sectors that have bolstered growth until now.

Labor resources are practically exhausted amid fierce competition for recruits between the military and businesses that’s also likely to limit further expansion of defense-related industries. The construction and banking sectors are no longer shielded from the impact of very high interest rates now that most state-subsidized mortgage programs were wound up last month.

 

[50z]

russisk militærkolonne nær Oktyabrske i Kursk regionen

 

[Simen1]

torbjornen skrev (15 timer siden):

Ikkje eit ord om Ukraina i Dagsrevyen i kveld heller.

Må det bli atomkrig for at Russland-korrespondentane til Nrk skal måtte avbryte ferien?

Norsk presse med NRK i spissen etterlater et vakuum mellom etterspørsel og tilbud på nyheter om Ukraina. Noen medier yter sånn halvveis bra med intervjuer av pensjonerte generalløytnanter og hel-elendig med intervjuer av Asle Toje som om han var en autoritet på dette. Han har vist seg som en konsekvent fjott i saken. Poenget mitt er at Norge trenger et norskspråklig nyhetsanker, et talent på historie, militær taktikk, russland m.m. som kan fylle vakuumet etter Norsk mediebransje. En Norges svar på Denys Davydov. Jeg kan tenke meg at flere personer her i tråden har potensial til å danke ut selveste NRK på Ukraina-dekningen.

[Brother Ursus]

https://www.twz.com/news-features/f-16s-delivered-to-ukraine-with-advanced-countermeasure-pods-for-self-protection

F-16s Delivered To Ukraine With Advanced Countermeasure Pods For Self-Protection

Ukraine's F-16s came with additional self-protection features that will help them survive a very dangerous battlespace.

 

As we reported on Sunday, after many months of negotiations and training of pilots and ground crews, Ukraine has finally taken delivery of its first batch of F-16 Vipers. These donated F-16AM/BM Mid Life Upgrade (MLU) configured jets represent a big leap forward in capability for the Ukrainian Air Force, but they will also be one of Russia’s top targets. While a wide array of weapons could become available to them, Ukraine’s Vipers have so far been configured strictly for air defense, but they are also equipped with a unique self-protection system that can go a long way to keeping Russian SAMs and air-to-air missiles at bay.

 

[Brother Ursus]

 

Østlige kontra vestlige militære kapabiliteter og doktrine.

[Brother Ursus]

https://www.reuters.com/world/mexico-rejects-ukraines-request-arrest-russias-putin-during-visit-2024-08-08/

Mexico rejects Ukraine's request to arrest Russia's Putin during visit

"We can't do that," President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador told reporters at a regular government press conference.

"It's not up to us."

 

Ukraine asked Mexico to arrest Putin if he attends the Oct. 1 swearing-in ceremony of President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum. The request, in a statement from Ukraine's Mexican embassy dated Aug. 7, pointed to an arrest warrant issued by the U.N.'s International Criminal Court (ICC)

 

Russia is not a member of the ICC, but Mexico is."

 

"In June, Putin congratulated Sheinbaum, a Lopez Obrador ally, on her election victory. At the time, he called Mexico a "historically friendly partner of Russia in Latin America."

 

Putin vil nok helt sikkert utebli, av flere årsaker, ikke minst at han ville fly langt gjennom internasjonalt luftrom mellom Europa og Nord-Amerika. Men det er bekymringsverdig at Mexico nå har en såpass vennlig tone overfor Russland.

[Simen1]

Brother Ursus skrev (25 minutter siden):

Russerne klager panisk over at F-16 nå flyr over vestbanken (sør for Dnipro-elven) av Kherson.

Jeg ser for meg flere muligheter for taktikken left hook, right upper cut. Dvs. dra all oppmerksomhet den ene veien og sette inn dødsstøtet fra en annen ubevoktet vinkel. Blant annet den jeg beskrev i går på aksen Vovchansk-Belgorod-Kursk. Men det kan selvsagt også skje noe i sør nå som all oppmerksomhet (elitetropper, materiell, luftvern, fly etc etc) er dras nordover. Kanskje det er nå Kerch-brua faller.

Endret 9. august 2024 av Simen1

[Brother Ursus]

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/08/08/one-of-ukraines-toughest-and-fastest-brigades-has-joined-the-invasion-of-russia/

One Of Ukraine’s Toughest And Fastest Brigades Has Joined The Invasion Of Russia

A column of armored vehicles rolling into southern Russia’s Kursk Oblast on the third day of Ukraine’s surprise attack into Russia confirms the involvement of one of Ukraine’s best-equipped and fastest-moving brigades: the 80th Air Assault Brigade.

A video that circulated on social media on Thursday depicts a T-64BV or T-80BV tank, a UR-77 mine-clearing vehicles, an IMR-2 engineering vehicle plus BTR-80 and U.S.-made Stryker wheeled armored personnel carriers rolling past a busy Ukrainian mortar crew. All the vehicles are up-armored with anti-drone cages. Infantry crowd the top of the BTR-80.

An 82-millimeter mortar lobs a bomb at most a couple of miles. It’s clear from the context that the video captures the early moments of a serious Ukrainian assault on Russian positions.

Only the 80th Air Assault Brigade operates that mix of ex-Soviet and ex-American vehicles. Further confirmation is found in a separate video—shot by a Russian drone—depicting strikes on ex-German Marder tracked fighting vehicles in Kursk Oblast.

The 80th Air Assault Brigade, like its sister unit the 82nd Air Assault Brigade, apparently operates Marders alongside its Strykers. The Marders are heavy. The Strykers are fast. They suit the Ukrainian air assault forces’ preference for swift but powerful attacks.

The participation of the 80th Air Assault Brigade—one of the better Ukrainian brigades—underscores the scale of the Ukrainian operation just north of Ukraine’s northern border with Russia.

In the 29 months since Russia widened its war on Ukraine, pro-Ukrainian fighters have launched many raids across the border into southern Russia. But these raids have been small in scale and limited in scope—and have never lasted more than a few days. More than anything, they’ve been meant to embarrass Russian leaders.

The Ukrainian operation that kicked off on Tuesday is different. At least three brigades, each with up to 2,000 troops, are involved: the 22nd and 88th Mechanized Brigades and the 80th Air Assault Brigade. Artillery, drones and air defenses are playing critical supporting roles.

A column of armored vehicles rolling into southern Russia’s Kursk Oblast on the third day of Ukraine’s surprise attack into Russia confirms the involvement of one of Ukraine’s best-equipped and fastest-moving brigades: the 80th Air Assault Brigade.

A video that circulated on social media on Thursday depicts a T-64BV or T-80BV tank, a UR-77 mine-clearing vehicles, an IMR-2 engineering vehicle plus BTR-80 and U.S.-made Stryker wheeled armored personnel carriers rolling past a busy Ukrainian mortar crew. All the vehicles are up-armored with anti-drone cages. Infantry crowd the top of the BTR-80.

An 82-millimeter mortar lobs a bomb at most a couple of miles. It’s clear from the context that the video captures the early moments of a serious Ukrainian assault on Russian positions.

Only the 80th Air Assault Brigade operates that mix of ex-Soviet and ex-American vehicles. Further confirmation is found in a separate video—shot by a Russian drone—depicting strikes on ex-German Marder tracked fighting vehicles in Kursk Oblast.

The 80th Air Assault Brigade, like its sister unit the 82nd Air Assault Brigade, apparently operates Marders alongside its Strykers. The Marders are heavy. The Strykers are fast. They suit the Ukrainian air assault forces’ preference for swift but powerful attacks.

The participation of the 80th Air Assault Brigade—one of the better Ukrainian brigades—underscores the scale of the Ukrainian operation just north of Ukraine’s northern border with Russia.

In the 29 months since Russia widened its war on Ukraine, pro-Ukrainian fighters have launched many raids across the border into southern Russia. But these raids have been small in scale and limited in scope—and have never lasted more than a few days. More than anything, they’ve been meant to embarrass Russian leaders.

 

The Ukrainian operation that kicked off on Tuesday is different. At least three brigades, each with up to 2,000 troops, are involved: the 22nd and 88th Mechanized Brigades and the 80th Air Assault Brigade. Artillery, drones and air defenses are playing critical supporting roles.

It’s more clear by the hour that what’s happening in Kursk isn’t a raid: it really is an invasion. That the Ukrainians are pouring significant resources into this invasion doesn’t guarantee its success, of course. There might be 10,000 Ukrainian troops in and around in the invasion zone. The Russian Northern Grouping of Forces, which fights along the border zone, has around 48,000 troops.

But the Northern Grouping of Forces is bogged down in Vovchansk, a Ukrainian border town 90 miles southeast of Sudzha, the Russian border town that’s the locus of the Ukrainian invasion.

It’s apparent Ukrainian brigades deliberately crossed the border where the Northern Grouping of Forces was thinnest. “The Ukrainian defense forces’ command has successfully achieved operational surprise,” the Ukrainian Center for Defense Strategies noted.

Whether, and how quickly, the Northern Grouping of Forces can shift forces toward Sudzha could be the deciding factor in the outcome of the three-day-old Ukrainian invasion. If the Russians move fast, they could blunt or even reverse the Ukrainians’ gains. If they move slowly, they could lose much more of Kursk Oblast to advancing Ukrainian columns.

There’s still a significant chance the Ukrainian operation backfires on its planners. If the Ukrainian brigades outrun their artillery, air defenses and logistics, they could find themselves alone and outgunned deep inside Kursk Oblast. Kyiv is risking thousands of troops it can’t easily replace. (dette tror jeg ukrainerne er fullt klare over, og er grunnen til at de ikke avanserer mye raskere som)

But the Ukrainians aren’t just advancing fast, they’re advancing fast with serious firepower—in the form of the 80th Air Assault Brigade.

To the Ukrainian commanders’ credit, the pace and mass of their attack has startled and befuddled Russian commanders. “A noticeable delay in decision-making by the command of the enemy’s ... [northern] operational grouping indicates a misjudgment of the likely nature of the Ukrainian defense forces’ actions,” CDS concluded.

[Brother Ursus]

https://mil.in.ua/en/news/the-belgorod-region-drones-hit-russian-military-repair-base/

The Belgorod region: Drones hit Russian military repair base

In the city of Novy Oskol in the Belgorod region, attack drones hit a repair base of the Russian military.

The russia no context Telegram channel reported on this and published the video.

According to them, the attack of seven UAVs took place around 2 a.m. on August 9.

“Next to our Novy Oskol bus station is a repair base where our guys were repairing combat vehicles. Seven drones hit the hangar. The ground was trembling, the noise was very loud, and it was immediately clear that these were drone strikes!” eyewitnesses said.

Endret 9. august 2024 av Brother Ursus

[ps5]

Cnn har ihvertfall plukket opp ballen for en time siden:

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/09/europe/russia-lipetsk-kursk-ukraine-zelensky-intl/index.html

[Brother Ursus]

 

Google-oversatt.

[trikola]

torbjornen skrev (16 timer siden):

Ikkje eit ord om Ukraina i Dagsrevyen i kveld heller.

Må det bli atomkrig for at Russland-korrespondentane til Nrk skal måtte avbryte ferien?

NRK er opptatt i Paris.

Det må vi vel ha forståelse for?

[Markiii]

Brother Ursus skrev (30 minutter siden):

https://www.reuters.com/world/mexico-rejects-ukraines-request-arrest-russias-putin-during-visit-2024-08-08/

Mexico rejects Ukraine's request to arrest Russia's Putin during visit

"We can't do that," President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador told reporters at a regular government press conference.

"It's not up to us."

 

Ukraine asked Mexico to arrest Putin if he attends the Oct. 1 swearing-in ceremony of President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum. The request, in a statement from Ukraine's Mexican embassy dated Aug. 7, pointed to an arrest warrant issued by the U.N.'s International Criminal Court (ICC)

 

Russia is not a member of the ICC, but Mexico is."

 

"In June, Putin congratulated Sheinbaum, a Lopez Obrador ally, on her election victory. At the time, he called Mexico a "historically friendly partner of Russia in Latin America."

 

Putin vil nok helt sikkert utebli, av flere årsaker, ikke minst at han ville fly langt gjennom internasjonalt luftrom mellom Europa og Nord-Amerika. Men det er bekymringsverdig at Mexico nå har en såpass vennlig tone overfor Russland.

Hva faen er galt med folk på venstresiden?

[Markiii]

Brother Ursus skrev (23 minutter siden):

In the 29 months since Russia widened its war on Ukraine, pro-Ukrainian fighters have launched many raids across the border into southern Russia. But these raids have been small in scale and limited in scope—and have never lasted more than a few days. More than anything, they’ve been meant to embarrass Russian leaders.

The Ukrainian operation that kicked off on Tuesday is different. At least three brigades, each with up to 2,000 troops, are involved: the 22nd and 88th Mechanized Brigades and the 80th Air Assault Brigade. Artillery, drones and air defenses are playing critical supporting roles.

Kan det være at de tidligere begrensede raidene inn i Russland egentlig var ment å få russerne til å slappe mer av og ikke ta angrep over grensen så seriøst?

Beklager sammenligningen, men det er jo kjent at ISIS brukte en teknikk på ofrene de henrettet, der de gjennomførte mange liksom-henrettelser først slik at offeret ble vant til det, og dermed når selve henrettelsen fant sted så trodde offeret det bare var enda en falsk henrettelse og derfor var mer avslappet/gjorde mindre motstand.

Kan Ukraina dermed bevisst ha gjennomført mindre og midlertidige angrep inn i Russland for å få Russland til å ikke ta det like seriøst når selve invasjonen ble igangsatt?

[Enceladus]

7 minutes ago, Markiii said:

Hva faen er galt med folk på venstresiden?

Altså, bare så det er sakt så burde du heller si på begge sider av det politiske spektrumet, og da helst ytterkantene.

Blir fort bråk og ugreit debattklima med denne typen ordbruk.

Endret 9. august 2024 av Enceladus