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Russlands invasjon av Ukraina [Ny tråd, les førstepost]


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Gjest MKII skrev (På 15.9.2024 den 11:37 PM):

Nytt atentatforsøk mot Trump:

Skytingen nær Trump hadde ingenting med Trump å gjøre, og Trump var aldri i fare, etter det jeg har fått med meg.

Rettelse. Det var vist Trump det handlet om.

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AI sammendrag:

Spoiler

1. Frontline Update in Kursk Oblast

  • Ukrainian Response to Russian Counteroffensive: The video discusses a Ukrainian column of armored vehicles crossing the Russian border into a new location in the Kursk Oblast, attempting to split the Russian counteroffensive. Ukrainian President Zelensky confirmed that Ukraine was expecting the Russian counterattack.

  • Russian Counteroffensive: The village of Korono has been the focus of Ukraine's operations for the past five weeks. However, Russia was able to resupply and reinforce the area, launching a counteroffensive south from Korono and east from the Glushkovo district. Ukraine was prepared and launched its own counterattack to cut off Russian forces.

  • Troop Numbers and Attrition Warfare: Russia has significantly increased its troop presence in the region, growing from 10,000 to 45,000. The Ukrainian strategy remains focused on attrition, making Russia expend resources and sustain heavy casualties in efforts to retake its own territory. Russia's approach of bombarding its own cities and settlements to deny Ukraine control of occupied areas is noted.

2. Prisoner Exchanges and Human Impact

  • A light-hearted moment occurs when Ukrainian prisoners of war (POWs) are told that Ukraine has invaded Russia, resulting in surprised reactions after being held captive for over a year.
  • Prisoner Exchanges: Videos show the return of Ukrainian and Russian POWs. The Ukrainians are joyful and emotional, having been in captivity for more than two years, while the young Russian conscripts appear less enthusiastic.

3. Russian and Ukrainian Military Positions

  • Donetsk Region: Russian offensives in Donetsk have slowed, with Ukraine's incursions in the Kursk Oblast reportedly disrupting Russian advances. Ukraine continues to fall back from specific areas under pressure but remains resilient in key locations like the small village of Vuhledar.
  • Russian Casualties and Failed Assaults: The video highlights how Russia continues to push forward despite suffering massive casualties and losing significant resources.

4. US-Ukraine Long-Range Strike Discussions

  • Debate over Long-Range Strikes: Ukrainian allies are pressuring the US to allow Ukraine to use long-range missiles like ATACMS for strikes deeper into Russian territory. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan is resisting this move. The UK Prime Minister and US President Biden discussed the issue, and while Biden hasn’t given the green light, discussions continue.

  • Putin’s Reaction: Putin warned that allowing Ukraine to strike Russian territory with Western weapons would mean direct NATO involvement in the war. His speech suggests he is not overly concerned about current Ukrainian drone strikes but would treat precision missile attacks as a different escalation.

  • Ukraine’s Desire for Long-Range Missiles: President Zelensky emphasized that Ukraine needs these weapons for survival. The Biden administration is still maintaining its restrictions, though there are theories that these restrictions might be lifted discreetly if Ukraine begins striking Russia.

5. Geopolitical and Election Implications

  • US Elections and Russian Strategy: The video speculates that Putin is unlikely to escalate to nuclear weapons before the US elections, as he is hopeful for a Trump victory. Trump and his allies have signaled they would end US support for Ukraine and potentially allow Russia to keep the territory it has seized. The video argues that Russia may instead provoke the US by attacking military bases in the Middle East to hurt Vice President Kamala Harris’s chances in the upcoming election.

  • Republican Campaigns and Political Exploitation: The video also addresses how Trump and Republican leaders are politicizing the deaths of US service members for electoral gain, comparing it to potential future Russian provocations.

6. Kremlin TV and Nuclear Threats

  • On Russian state TV, Kremlin-aligned commentators discuss Ukraine's invasion of Russian territory, but responses vary, with some maintaining that the war is going according to plan. There are also references to potential nuclear strikes, although these threats are framed as part of Russia's broader military strategy rather than imminent action.

7. International Reactions and Aid

  • Foreign Aid: Spain, Finland, and Latvia continue to provide military aid to Ukraine. Spain notably vetoed a Hungarian bid to purchase a train group due to concerns over Hungary’s pro-Russian stance.
  • India’s Role: India secured the release of 45 Indian nationals who had been tricked into joining the Russian military, signaling the growing complexity of international diplomatic relations in the conflict.

8. Economic Impact on Russia

  • Russian Economy in Crisis: Russia’s Central Bank raised the key interest rate to 19% due to inflation, with the ruble devaluing rapidly. Restaurants in Russia are adding surcharges due to the economic instability, highlighting the deepening crisis within Russia.

9. Ukrainian Resilience and Production

  • Artillery Production: Ukraine has begun producing its own 155mm NATO-standard artillery shells, further improving its military self-sufficiency.
  • IMF Support: The International Monetary Fund approved a $1.1 billion tranche for Ukraine, with conditions for further economic reforms.

10. Conclusion and Future Outlook

  • The video ends with an optimistic message about Ukraine’s resilience and the continuing support from international partners. The focus is on the long-term nature of the conflict, with the expectation that the war could continue for years, especially as Ukraine adapts to its new circumstances.

In summary, the video provides a thorough update on the latest military developments in Ukraine, geopolitical dynamics, and the impact of Western aid and sanctions on the conflict.

 

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Enceladus skrev (8 timer siden):

Spennende det som skjer i Kursk nå.

Definitivt!

Jeg ser tegn på at Ukraina nå innfrir mine forventninger til sin Enda Spesiellere Militæroperasjon. Altså at dette er først og fremst et politisk grep for å tvinge Putin til å reagere. SÅ benytter de den russiske reaksjonen til å gjøre mer *F*  :D

De russiske styrkene som har blitt isolert sør for elva Seym er nå i ferd med å bli desperate og prøver å bryte seg ut *gjennom* de ukrainske linjene, ukraina angriper dem nå fra egen side av grensen for å dele russernes område i to. Eller heller *nesten* i to, ukraina ser ofte ut til å foretrekke en delvis fremfor en fullstendig omringing. Lurer på om dette kan ha med russernes lynne å gjøre. En russisk soldat som er omringet kan forventes å slåss til siste slutt, etterlat en åpning og han kan skytes mens han desperat løper etter åpningen. De 'nye' russiske styrkene som piskes fremover for å kaste ut ukrainerne/redde egne innestengte tropper,  stanger dels i forberedte forsvar, dels falles de i ryggen når ukraina beveger seg rundt på flankene.

Det eneste som kan hindre ukrainerne å gang på gang utmanøvrere russerne i Kursk er om russerne trekker seg tilbake og etablerer en solid forsvarslinje utenfor der ukrainerne opererer nå. Men da har de oppgitt deler av Kursk og som vi allerede ser, det er ikke en akseptabel politisk situasjon for Putin.

 

Jeg synes fortsatt Pokrovsk ser ut som en potensiell felle. Russiske milbloggere er også bekymret over muligheten. At Pokrovsk er viktig for ukrainsk logistikk taler *for* at det er en bevisst felle. Feller virker best når åtet er noe byttet *virkelig* ønsker seg. ;) 

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toreae skrev (6 timer siden):

Skytingen nær Trump hadde ingenting med Trump å gjøre, og Trump var aldri i fare, etter det jeg har fått med meg.

Nja ... joda, Trump var ikke i nærheten da skuddene fra sikkerhetsstyrkene smalt. Men det var jo fordi nevnte sikkerhetsstyrker oppdaget at noen drev å rigget seg til inni buskene.

Hva hadde skjedd om mannen hadde fått sitte uforstyrret i fred, tror du? Det er vel ganske nærliggende å tro han ønsket å "campe" der til Trump selv tuslet inn i skuddhold, på denne golfbanen?

 

 - Litt OT i forhold til tråden, men det er nå så.

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AI sammendrag:

Spoiler

1. Ukrainian Offensive in Kursk Region

  • Initial Attack: The Ukrainian forces launched a powerful offensive across the border towards Glushkovo. The Russians, recognizing the imminent threat, tried to establish logistical lines using pontoon bridges and the Korenevo-Glushkovo highway.
  • Ukrainian Anticipation: Ukraine anticipated these moves and targeted Russian reinforcements using ATACMS cluster warheads, effectively neutralizing Russian efforts.

2. Russian Struggles and Isolation

  • Russian Logistical Issues: Around 3,000 Russian soldiers in the Glushkovo area have struggled to maintain logistical support, as crucial roads, including the Glushkovo-Korenevo highway, are under Ukrainian fire control. This has isolated the Russian forces, leaving only bridges across the Seym River as the remaining supply routes.

  • Pontoon Bridges Destroyed: Combat footage shows Ukrainian forces using HIMARS to destroy Russian pontoon bridges and construction equipment. Ukrainian drone operators also destroyed Russian equipment attempting to repair these bridges.

3. Russian Counterattacks

  • Russian Counteroffensive: The Russians launched several counterattacks, attempting to retake the Korenevo-Glushkovo highway to reconnect their forces. Redeployed troops from eastern Ukraine entered Snagost and launched assaults on Ukrainian positions in various villages.
  • Ukrainian Defense: Ukraine was prepared for the counterattack, using FPV drone units to target Russian assault units along the highway. These drones continuously disrupted Russian reinforcements, striking troops every five minutes.

4. Ukrainian Tactical Success

  • Preparation for the Next Offensive: Ukrainian forces assembled a formidable assault group, including tanks and engineering vehicles, to clear Russian fortifications at the border. The assault group advanced across open fields, knowing that the Russians had not had time to lay landmines, and moved towards the town of Veseloye, which they are now storming.
  • Breakthrough: The weak Russian response allowed Ukrainian forces to break through by at least three kilometers, leaving only seven kilometers to reach Glushkovo.

5. Russian Desperation

  • Night Reinforcements: In a desperate attempt to reinforce their defenses, Russian troops tried to use the Seym River bridges to deploy soldiers under cover of night. However, Ukrainian drone operators detected the movement and called in a HIMARS strike, inflicting heavy casualties.

6. Strategic Implications

  • Russian Vulnerabilities: The Ukrainian offensive has outflanked Russian forces that had penetrated into Ukrainian-held territory, putting them at risk of encirclement. This development undermines the Russian efforts to reestablish logistical lines to Glushkovo and exposes weaknesses in their operational planning.

  • Tactical Shift: The success of the Ukrainian strategy highlights a shift in the tactical balance in favor of Ukraine, potentially leading to a major setback for Russian forces and altering the broader dynamics of the conflict.

7. Support for Ukraine

  • The video concludes by promoting an online store, UA Supporter, where viewers can purchase products with Ukrainian symbols to show support for both the channel and Ukraine.

In summary, the Ukrainian forces have successfully launched a significant offensive in the Kursk region, disrupting Russian supply lines and counterattacks, leading to a potential breakthrough that could have larger strategic implications in the conflict.

 

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Innen forsvaret er det ofte (intern) kamp om bevilgninger. De store med høye sjefer (gamle ringrever) har en tendens til å vinne. 

Slik er det mange steder innen det offentlige.

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