jallajall

Ikke full kapitulasjon, men lite sannsynlig at noen av partene kommer til å bli kjempefornøyd med en avtale.

Strategien har ikke vært prøvd i særlig stor grad enda, da det ikke har blitt forhandlet om fred. Det har vært litt forhandlinger rundt våpenhvile, som ikke har ført frem. Det har vel heller ikke vært særlig populært, da det argumentet fra støttespillerne har vært at det det er det dummeste Ukraina kan gjøre da det bare gir Russland en mulighet for å bygge seg opp igjen. Det har vært forhandlinger om fangeutvekslinger som har ført frem. USA har heller aldri fått konkrete krav for fred fra Russland før Witkoff var der i forrige uke, det er først nå de har hatt noe konkret å forholde seg til. Partnene er neppe nær en løsning med det første. Det i seg selv er ikke noe argument mot at man skal sette seg ned å begynne å snakke sammen. Tror likevel ikke det blir noen fredsavtale i løpet av nærmeste fremtid, de kommer nok til å fortsette krigføringen en stund til. Er ikke sikkert Russland er noe nærmere med å ta sine geografiske, eller strategiske, mål om for eksempel ett år, men fordelen de har er at Ukraina taper soldater og krigstrøttheten der øker enda mer. Russland kommer aldri til å slippe sanksjoner så lenge de er i Ukraina, men noen av sanksjonen kan løses opp mot at de stopper krigføringen. Et fullstendig nederlag, enten for Ukraina eller Russland, er nok svært lite sannsynlig.. Det kommer til å ende med forhandlinger, når den ene parten innser at ressursene vil ebbe ut om en viss tid dersom man bare fortsetter som før.

Tja. Hvordan, eller hvorfor, skal Israel forhandle med HAMAS? Hvordan, eller hvorfor, skal Israel forhandle med Iran? Hvordan, eller hvorfor, i hele tatt forhandle dersom noe kan løses med krig i mange år fremover? Spør for Bill Kristol og John Bolton.

TIL VALHALL!

Forhandlinger.

En hilsen til alle europeiske impotente ledere som "pray that the war continues" fra en frontblogger i Pokrovsk regionen. Ikke noe beskytter de bedre enn å rope slogans.

Jeg tror du skal være rimelig god salgsmann dersom du klarer å selge inn den planen til krigstrøtte ukrainere, en plan hvor man satser alt på at Russland kollapser før Ukraina..

Før de skulle? Entreprenøren som skulle sette opp gjerdet sa de ønsket å gjøre det i dagslys, og ba politiet om å sikre arbeidsforholdene. Klokken 10 på formiddag la USPP og SS en plan om å sikre parken og gater, slik at entreprenøren kunne få jobbe i fred. SS skulle også bidra med mannskap til å sikre tilstøtende gater. Planen til USPP var ikke å begynne et konkret klokkeslett, men å begynne å sikre parken så fort de hadde nok mannskap på plass og fort entreprenøren ankom. Det ble anslått av entreprenøren allerede kanskje kunne komme så tidlig som klokken 14.. Klokken 16 ankom den første bilen, men de ble stående å vente og fikk ikke lov å begynne å losse. At demonstrantene ble utsatt for vold "uten forvarsel" skyldes heller lav megafonbruk fra USPP og har nok lite med Trump å gjøre. USPP er ikke akuratt en top-notch politistyrke og har fått rettmessig mye kritikk.

At a House hearing in July, then-acting Police Chief Gregory Monahan said the orders to clear the square did not come from the White House, Bernhardt or William Barr, the attorney general at the time. “We did not clear the park for a photo op,” Monahan said. Video ligger på Youtune. 100% ingen korrelasjon mellom fjerning av demonstrantene og Trumps photo-op, sier USPP Cheif Monahan under hans høring i Rep.hus.

Enig.

Du har sikkert rett. Politiet fjernet demonstrantene med tåregass slik at Trump kunne posere med Bibelen.

Påstanden din om at "Trump fikk brukt tåregass mot fredelige demonstranter fordi han ville posere med bibelen utenfor en kirke". Watchdog Report Says Police Did Not Clear Protesters To Make Way For Trump Photo-Op Police did not clear Lafayette Square so Trump could hold 'Bible' photo op: Watchdog Protest wasn't cleared for Trump photo op - report Trump photo op at church wasn't why Lafayette Square was cleared Inspector General Mark Lee Greenblatt wrote that “the evidence did not support a finding that the [United States Park Police] cleared the park on June 1, 2020, so that then President Trump could enter the park.” The protesters were instead removed “to allow a contractor to safely install anti-scale fencing in response to destruction of Federal property and injury to officers that occured on May 30 and May 31” during other Black Lives Matter protests. The evidence established that relevant (Park Police) officials had made those decisions and had begun implementing the operational plan several hours before they knew of a potential presidential visit to the park, which occurred later that day.

Har ikke denne blitt faktasjekket, da? Har ikke denne blitt faktasjekket, da?

Litt småkrangling mellom de forskjellige mapperne på Twitter, men David D holder hvertfall motet oppe.

Hva skjedde?

Azerbaijan after Russian strikes on fuel facilities in Ukraine may start supplying weapons to Kiev Azerbaijan after Russia’s strikes on the fuel facilities of Baku in Ukraine may begin supplying weapons to Kiev. This is stated by the Azerbaijani website Caliber following yesterday’s conversation between Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and President Vladimir Zelensky, citing sources. "if Russia continues its aggressive policy towards the interests of Azerbaijan, then official Baku will begin to consider the issue of lifting the embargo on arms supplies to Ukraine." Azerbaijan sends $2 million in energy equipment to Ukraine after Russian strike Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev has signed an order allocating $2 million in humanitarian aid to Ukraine.. The decree noted that Azerbaijan has already sent humanitarian aid to the Ukrainian people on multiple occasions.

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JD Vance tells Europe to ‘step up and take a bigger role’ in Ukraine It is clear, however, that even if it remains unwavering in its diplomatic stance, Europe lacks the strength to back Kyiv in negotiating favourable terms in a future peace agreement or enforcing a ceasefire. The so-called “coalition of the willing” — a multinational force led by the UK and France intended to support Ukraine and potentially monitor a ceasefire — looks highly unlikely to meet Sir Keir Starmer’s original hopes of 64,000 troops on the ground. “Russia has 800,000 [troops],” Dovile Sakaliene, Lithuania’s defence minister, told European counterparts. “If we can’t even raise 64,000 that doesn’t look weak — it is weak.” It falls far short of the 200,000 troops that President Zelensky estimated in January were needed to credibly enforce peace across Ukraine’s extensive front line and to prevent a new Russian attack after any ceasefire deal. Experts put the figure at closer to 600,000. So far, the UK and France are the ­only countries to have committed a specific number of troops. Finland is ­reportedly concerned that any deployment would “dilute” its own border ­defences, while Poland, Spain and Italy have made clear they will not commit any soldiers. Estonia has said it may only be willing to send a company-sized combat unit of ground troops. Zelensky said in January that about 40 per cent of Ukraine’s weapons came from the US, about 33 per cent were produced domestically and less than 30 per cent came from Europe.

Peace deal may recognise that Russia de facto controls part of Ukraine’s territory NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said this on ABC News.. "When it comes to full-scale negotiations, and let’s hope that Friday will be an important step in that process. ... It will be about territory. It will be, of course, about security guarantees, but also about the absolute need to acknowledge that Ukraine decides on its own future, that Ukraine has to be a sovereign nation, deciding on its own geopolitical future -- of course having no limitations to its own military troop levels. And for NATO, to have no limitations on our presence on the eastern flank," "When it comes to this whole issue of territory, when it comes to acknowledging, for example, maybe in a future deal that Russia is controlling de facto, factually some of the territory of Ukraine, it has to be effectual recognition, and not a political de jure recognition," Rutte noted.

Nå har man for første gang hvertfall noe konkret fra Russlands side å forholde seg till. Ukraina behøver ikke gå med på noe som helst, men spørsmålet er jo hva som er realistisk for få til en fredsavtale, ikke hva man ønsker er realistisk. Er det for eksempel realistisk med en avtale hvor Russland gir slipp det de har erobret, kanskje foruten Krim? Hvilke innrømmelser må i såfall Ukraina kommer med for å få til dette?

Hvor skal slike folk skyte den dagen alt blir digitalt og må gjøres hjemmefra?

Spain shuns US F-35 jets as tensions grow with Washington Spain is opting to replace its ageing fighter jet fleet with European military aircraft rather than the US F-35, as tensions over defence and foreign policy strain Madrid’s relations with Washington. “The Spanish option consists of the current Eurofighter and the FCAS in the future,” the Spanish defence ministry told the Financial Times, referring to the Future Combat Air System, a joint programme between France, Germany and Spain. Forsåvidt ikke sånn veldig overraskende siden det er Spania.

U.S. secures strategic transit corridor in Armenia-Azerbaijan peace deal A peace deal could transform the South Caucasus, an energy-producing region neighboring Russia, Europe, Turkey and Iran that is criss-crossed by oil and gas pipelines but riven by closed borders and longstanding ethnic conflicts. They are to sign a framework aimed at reaching a "concrete pathway to peace" and addressing a long-simmering transit issue, the officials said. Azerbaijan has asked for a transport corridor through Armenia, linking the bulk of its territory to Nakhchivan, an Azerbaijani enclave that borders Baku's ally Turkey. Under a carefully negotiated section of the documents the leaders will sign on Friday, Armenia plans to award the United States exclusive special development rights for an extended period on a transit corridor that will be named the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity, and known by the acronym TRIPP, the officials said. Det vil hvertfall gjøre Russlands innflytelse i regionen minde.

For Putin, Trump Summit Is Key to Securing Ukraine Goals Analysts who study Mr. Putin, as well as people who know him, have said since the early days of the war that the Russian leader’s overarching goal is primarily to secure a peace deal that achieves his geopolitical aims — and not necessarily to conquer a certain amount of territory on the battlefield.