Snikpellik

CNNs Christiane Amanpour (som forøvrig er britisk-iraner) melder at Larjani var USA og Israels foretrukne kandidat for å lede Iran inntil februar, da han var en av de som sto bak massakrene: A source familiar with private plans & discussions tells me Ali Larijani was, for the US & Israel, the most favored transitional candidate as of Sept 2025, but became a target early Feb 2026. Den amerikansk-iranske eksperten Ali Vaez sier følgende om drapet: Tehran loses one more of the few men who could still link the battlefield to politics. And that makes the regime not weaker in a simple sense, but blinder, stiffer, and more dangerous.

Gårsdagens oppdatering om sivile dødsfall fra HRANA. Day 17 of the U.S.-Israeli War on Iran: Increase in Civilian Casualties https://www.en-hrana.org/day-17-of-the-u-s-israeli-war-on-iran-increase-in-civilian-casualties/ In the last 24 hours, and as of March 16, 2026, at 17:00 ET, HRANA has recorded at least 243 attacks across 117 incidents in 17 provinces, resulting in a total of at least 66 casualties (killed and injured, both civilian and military). Reports today indicate that 65% of the attacks have been concentrated on Tehran Province. According to information recorded and verified by HRANA, from the first minutes of the day until the end of March 16, 2026 (Tehran time), at least 21 civilians were killed and 31 civilians injured. Aggregated data since the beginning of the conflict on February 28, 2026, based on incidents recorded in the incident tab and using minimum values for figures marked “more than”: • Civilian fatalities: 1,351 people (including at least 207 children)

Trumps nasjonale kontraterrorsjef Joe Kent sier opp jobben i protest mot krigen (!). Han er den første i en betydelig stilling som gjør dette. Kent er forøvrig MAGA på sin hals, så dette er litt overraskende. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joe_Kent

Frankrike annonserte for en drøy uke siden at de donerer blant annet pansrede kjøretøy til den libanesiske hæren: France ramps up military aid to Lebanon as Macron calls for halt in attacks https://www.rfi.fr/en/france/20260306-france-ramps-up-military-aid-to-lebanon-as-macron-calls-for-halt-in-attacks-middle-east-war France will strengthen its cooperation with the Lebanese Armed Forces and provide armoured transport vehicles along with operational and logistical support, President Emmanuel Macron has said, as Lebanon is pulled deeper into the war in the Middle East.

Felles uttalelse fra Canada, Tyskland, Storbritannia, Italia og Frankrike om situasjonen mellom Israel og Hizbollah. Joint statement on the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/statements/2026/03/16/joint-statement-conflict-between-israel-and-hezbollah “Statement by the leaders of Canada, France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom on the escalating conflict between Israel and Hezbollah. We are gravely concerned by the escalating violence in Lebanon and call for meaningful engagement by Israeli and Lebanese representatives to negotiate a sustainable political solution. We strongly support initiatives to facilitate talks and urge for immediate de-escalation. Hezbollah’s attacks on Israel and the targeting of civilians must cease and they must disarm. We condemn Hezbollah’s decision to join Iran in hostilities, which further jeopardises regional peace and security. We condemn attacks directed at civilians, civilian infrastructure, health workers and infrastructure, as well as the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon. These actions are unacceptable, and we call on all parties to act in accordance with international humanitarian law. A significant Israeli ground offensive would have devastating humanitarian consequences and could lead to a protracted conflict. It must be averted. The humanitarian situation in Lebanon, including ongoing mass displacement, is already deeply alarming. We reiterate our call for the full implementation of UNSC Resolution 1701 by all parties and support the efforts of the Government of Lebanon to disarm Hezbollah, prohibit Hezbollah’s military activities, and curb their armed hostilities. We stand in solidarity with the Lebanese government and people, who have been unwillingly drawn into conflict.”

Nye satellittbilder viser skadene ved Al Dhafra-flybasen i UAE. Basen brukes av UAE, USA og Frankrike, og ble angrepet for noen dager siden. https://soaratlas.com/maps/140962?pos=24.239137901594027%2C54.578631924135344%2C17.88&basemap=Google+Satellite Soar Atlas has obtained new high-resolution satellite imagery from March 15th confirming the legitimacy of the much debated strikes at the Al Dhafra Air Base in UAE. Impacts at the accommodation area and nearby buildings. Mer:

Helt klart. Jeg tror det er tilfeldigheter som gjør at Van Dijk har en del slike episoder som har gått ustraffet, men også at de har fått mer oppmerksomhet.

Video viser en FPV-drone som får fly fritt over den amerikanske ambassaden i Bagdad.

Endelig en god nyhet. Sjefen for Basij-militsen, som er direkte ansvarlig for den grove undertrykkelsen og volden mot det iranske folk de siste årene skal være drept, ifølge IDF.

Video fra i natt viser at det amerikanske ambassadeområdet i Bagdad blir truffet av en drone. En C-RAM skyter først ned én drone, men den andre får de ikke tatt ned. Flere videoer i sosiale medier viser at en C-RAM ved den ambassaden i Bagdad har kjempet vedvarende kamp mot angrepsdroner i går kveld og i natt. Treffet er blitt geolokalisert til ambassadens eget kraftverk:

Forskjellen er vel at Van Dijk er (var) så utrolig god på det, og har sluppet unna en del "skitne" episoder uten kort. Rå på timing, som er en egenskap. Ikke minst er det også mye fokus på Van Dijk siden han spiller for Liverpool og har vært så god én mot én at det er blitt en del sånne situasjoner i monitor. Han og Bruno Guimaraes minner meg om hverandre, uten at jeg skal sammenligne de to for tett heller, for sistnevnte har jo plukket opp en del røde. Alle lags supportere liker å ha en sånn spiller på laget sitt.

Obs, mente Rødehavet, åpenbart ikke inne i Persiagulfen. Går fort i svingene med disse buktene og gulfene 😅

Her er en lengre analyse av situasjonen fra Ilan Goldenberg. Må leses. Goldenberg med sin ekspertise og bakgrunn er en mann verdt å lytte til. Three weeks into the war with Iran, a number of observations as someone who spent years war-gaming this scenario. 1. The U.S. and Israel may have produced regime transition in the worst possible way. Ali Khamenei was 86 and had survived multiple bouts of prostate cancer. His death in the coming years would likely have triggered a real internal reckoning in Iran, potentially opening the door to somewhat more pragmatic leadership, especially after the protests and crackdown last month. Instead, the regime made its most consequential decision under existential external threat giving the hardliners a clear upperhand. Now we appear to have a successor who is 30 years younger, deeply tied to the IRGC, and radicalized by the war itself – including the killing of family members. Disastrous. 2. About seven years ago at CNAS, I helped convene a group of security, energy, and economic experts to walk through scenarios for a U.S.--Iran war and the implications for global oil prices. What we’re seeing now was considered one of the least likely but worst outcomes. The modeling assumed the Strait of Hormuz could close for 4–10 weeks, with 1–3 years required to restore oil production once you factored in infrastructure damage. Prices could spike from around $65 to $175–$200 per barrel, before eventually settling in the $80–$100 range a year later in a new normal. 3. One surprising development: Iran is still moving oil through the Strait of Hormuz while disrupting everyone else. In most war games I participated in, we assumed Iran couldn’t close the Strait and still use it themselves. That would have made the move extremely self-defeating. But Iran appears capable of harassing global shipping while still pushing some of its own exports through. That changes the calculus. 4. The U.S. now finds itself in the naval and air equivalent of the dynamic we faced in Iraq and Afghanistan. It’s a recipe for a quagmire where we win every battle and lose the war. We have overwhelming military dominance and are exacting a tremendous cost. But Iran doesn’t need to win battles. They just need occasional successes. A small boat hitting a tanker. A drone slipping through defenses in the Gulf. A strike on a hotel or oil facility. Each incident creates insecurity and drives costs up while remind everyone that the regime is surviving and fighting. 5. The deeper problem is that U.S. objectives were set far too high. Once “regime change” becomes the implicit or explicit goal, the bar for American success becomes enormous. Iran’s bar is simple: survive and keep causing disruption. 6. The options for ending this war now are all bad. You can try to secure the entire Gulf and Middle East indefinitely – extremely expensive and maybe impossible. You can invade Iran and replace the regime, but nobody is seriously going to do that. Costs are astronomical. You can try to destabilize the regime by supporting separatist groups. It probably won’t work and if it does you’ll most likely spark a civil war producing years of bloody chaos the U.S. will get blamed for. None of these are good outcomes. 7. The other escalatory options being discussed are taking the nuclear material out of Esfahan or taking Kargh Island. Esfahan is not really workable. Huge risk. You’d have been on the ground for a LONG time to safely dig in and get the nuclear material out in the middle of the country giving Iran time to reinforce from all over and over run the American position. 8. Kharg Island can be appealing to Trump. He’d love to take Iran’s ability to export oil off the map and try to coerce them to end the war. It’s much easier because it’s not in the middle of IRan. But it’s still a potentially costly ground operation. And again. Again, the Iranian government only has to survive to win and they can probably do that even without Kargh. 9. The least bad option is the classic diplomatic off-ramp. The U.S. declares that Iran’s military capabilities have been significantly degraded, which is how the Pentagon always saw the purpose of the war. Iran declares victory for surviving and demonstrating it can still threaten regional actors. It would feel unsatisfying. But this is the inevitable outcome anyway. Better to stop now than after five or ten more years of escalating costs. Remember in Afghanistan we turned down a deal very early in the war with the Taliban that looked amazing 20 years later. Don’t need to repeat that kind of mistake. 10. The U.S. and Israel are not perfectly aligned here. Trump just needs a limited win and would see long-term instability as a negative whereas for Netanyahu a weak unstable Iran that bogs the U.S. down in the MIddle East is a fine outcome. If President Trump decided he wanted Israel to stop, he likely has the leverage to push it in that direction just as he pressured Netanyahu to take a deal last fall on Gaza. 11. When this is over, the Gulf states will have to rethink their entire security strategy. They are stuck in the absolute worst place. They didn’t start this war and didn’t want it and now they are taking with some of the worst consequences. Neither doubling down with the U.S. and Israel nor placating the Iranians seems overwhelmingly appealing. 12. One clear geopolitical winner so far: Russia. Oil prices are rising. Sanctions are coming off. Western attention and military resources are shifting away from Ukraine. From Moscow’s perspective, this war is a win win win. 13. At some point China may have a role to play here. It is the world’s largest oil importer, and much of that supply comes from the Middle East. Yes they are still getting oil from Iran. But they also buy from the rest of the Middle East, and a prolonged disruption in the Gulf hits Beijing hard. That gives China a real incentive to help push toward an end to the conflict.

Israel targets top Iranian official Ali Larijani in overnight airstrike https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/israel-targets-top-iranian-official-ali-larijani-in-overnight-airstrike/ Israel targeted top Iranian official Ali Larijani in an airstrike in Iran overnight, according to Israeli officials. It is unclear if Larijani, the secretary of Iran’s National Security Council, was killed or injured in the strike, the officials say. Meanwhile, another recent Israeli airstrike in Iran targeted Palestinian Islamic Jihad leader Akram al-Ajouri and other top officials in the terror group, according to defense sources. IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir appears to confirm the details. During an assessment this morning, Zamir says that “significant elimination achievements were also recorded overnight, with the potential to impact the campaign’s achievements and the IDF’s missions” — in an apparent reference to the strike targeting Larijani. “This is in addition to eliminations carried out in recent days in Iran against external elements, also linked to the Palestinian arena,” Zamir says, referring to the Islamic Jihad officials. He says that the “senior operatives involved in terrorist activity from Gaza and from Judea and Samaria (West Bank)” were hiding in a safe house in Tehran when they were struck.

New York Times melder at det har vært en brann på USS Gerald Ford, som ligger i Rødehavet og utfører kampoperasjoner mot det iranske regimet. Brannen startet i klesvask-området og varte i over 30 timer før den ble slukket. Dette har ført til at over 600 av besetningen har mistet sengene sine, og må sove på gulv og bord. Hangarskipet som egentlig skulle vært inne til vedlikehold og ombygging i år har vært til sjøs på oppdrag i over 10 måneder på grunn av Trumps operasjoner i Venezuela og Midtøsten, og det har lenge vært en rekke artikler om en utmattet besetning som har måttet takle problemer med blant annet kloakkanlegget som regelmessig bryter sammen. I midten av april vil hangarskipet bryte rekorden for lengste utplassering siden Vietnam-krigen, og er ikke ventet å få avløsning før i mai. Fire on U.S. Aircraft Carrier Raged for Hours, Sailors Say https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/16/us/politics/uss-ford-fire-iran-venezuela.html Gratis lenke: https://archive.is/p8Xw4#selection-823.0-826.0 It took more than 30 hours for sailors to put out the fire aboard the aircraft carrier Gerald R. Ford last week, sailors and military officials said, as the beleaguered ship continued its months long slog through President Trump’s military operations. The fire started in the ship’s main laundry area last Thursday. By the time it was over, more than 600 sailors and crew members had lost their beds and have since been bunking down on floors and tables, officials said. (...) The Ford is now entering its 10th month of deployment. It will break the record for longest post-Vietnam War carrier deployment if it is still at sea in mid-April. That record, at 294 days, was set by the U.S.S. Abraham Lincoln in 2020. Crew members on the Ford have been told that their deployment will probably be extended into May, which would put them at an entire year at sea, twice the length of a normal aircraft carrier deployment. The Navy kept aircraft carriers deployed for nine months at a time, sometimes a little longer, during the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. But deployments are not usually extended past six months. Longer than that, Navy experts say, is very difficult for both the ship and the crew. “Ships get tired too, and they get beat up over the course of long deployments,” said Rear Adm. John F. Kirby, a retired naval officer who was Pentagon press secretary and a national security spokesman in the Biden administration. “You can’t run a ship that long and that hard and expect her and her crew to perform at peak capacity.”

Italy Says It Will Not Join Iran War and Begins Pulling Back Troops https://www.military.com/feature/2026/03/15/italy-says-it-will-not-join-iran-war-and-begins-pulling-back-troops.html Italy has announced it will not participate in the ongoing war involving the United States, Israel, and Iran, while also beginning to withdraw some of its military personnel from positions in the Middle East as the conflict intensifies. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni told lawmakers Italy “does not take part” in the U.S.-Israeli military strikes against Iran and “does not want to enter” the war. She described the conflict as one of the most serious international crises in recent decades and warned that the escalation reflected a broader breakdown in the international legal order. Meloni’s comments marked one of the clearest statements by a major European government distancing itself from the military campaign. (...) Italy has also begun pulling back some of its military personnel stationed in the region. The Italian defense ministry confirmed that troops stationed at a base in Erbil in Iraq’s Kurdistan region were being withdrawn as the security situation deteriorated.

Nadav Eydal, israelsk journalist: Israeli officials say Washington told them to prepare for weeks more of fighting - because of Hormuz. They confirm Iran has deployed about a dozen naval mines in the Strait, creating a controlled shipping corridor Tehran manages.

Seizing Iran’s uranium could take ‘largest special forces operation in history’ – WSJ https://www.timesofisrael.com/seizing-irans-uranium-could-take-largest-special-forces-operation-in-history-wsj/ Upward of 1,000 personnel could be required on-site to secure Isfahan facility, dig through rubble for near-weapons grade nuclear material, amid Iranian missile and drone fire. A military operation to seize Iran’s stockpile of enriched uranium would require “the largest special forces operation in history,” The Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday, citing US and Israeli security experts. When American and Israeli fighter jets bombed three of the Islamic Republic’s key nuclear sites last June, the regime was believed to have had some 440 kilograms of 60 percent-enriched uranium — a short step away from weapons-grade material, enough for an estimated ten nuclear bombs. Another almost 200 kilograms, at 20% enriched, were also believed to be in the regime’s possession. Weapons-grade uranium is 90%-enriched. International Atomic Energy Agency chief Rafael Grossi said last week that around half of the 60%-enriched uranium was stored in a tunnel complex at the Isfahan nuclear site. A report earlier this month said the US believes there is a “very narrow access point” through which the material could potentially be retrieved. Seizing the uranium amid the war would require a major operation, which former NATO commander James Stavridis told the Journal could be “the largest special operations forces in history.” Combat troops would need to secure perimeters while engineers dug through tons of debris while checking for mines and booby traps, the newspaper reported. To deliver the equipment to the site and move the recovered material out of the country, a local airfield would be required, and if none was available, a makeshift airfield would have to be set up as part of the operation, the report said. And forces would likely come under drone and missile fire, requiring ground forces and planes to ward off the attacks. Also noted in the report was the possibility of diluting or destroying the material rather than removing it, though this would bring the risk of contaminating the area. On Sunday, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi told CBS: “Our nuclear facilities were attacked, and everything is under the rubble.” He said the regime has no plan to recover the material, but also that it is not willing to negotiate about the stockpile’s future while under fire.

Emmanuel Macron har snakket med det iranske regimets president, og uttaler følgende: I have just spoken with Iranian President Massoud Pezeshkian. I called on him to put an immediate end to the unacceptable attacks Iran is carrying out against countries in the region, whether directly or through proxies, including in Lebanon and Iraq. I reminded him that France is acting within a strictly defensive framework aimed at protecting its interests, its regional partners, and freedom of navigation, and that it is unacceptable for our country to be targeted. The unchecked escalation we are witnessing is plunging the entire region into chaos, with major consequences today and for the years to come. The people of Iran, like those across the region, are paying the price. Only a new political and security framework can ensure peace and security for all. Such a framework must guarantee that Iran never acquires nuclear weapons, while also addressing the threats posed by its ballistic missile programme and its destabilising activities regionally and internationally. Freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz must be restored as soon as possible. I also urged the Iranian President to allow Cécile Kohler and Jacques Paris to return safely to France as soon as possible. Their ordeal has gone on for far too long, and they belong with their loved ones.

Uttalelser fra den tidligere britiske forsvarsministeren (2023 til 2024), Sir Grant Shapps: – Trump's been belittling NATO allies for years, launched strikes on Iran without allies – now wants NATO to bail him out in the Strait of Hormuz. Stopping Iran's nuclear programme is right and we should help – but he burned his bridges and now moans that nobody's coming. – Putin’s war machine runs on oil money. Every barrel sold helps fund the drones striking Ukraine. Weakening sanctions – even temporarily – gives the Kremlin breathing space to keep this brutal war going. The US should be tightening pressure on Russia, not easing it. – While the world’s attention is understandably focused on Iran, we must not forget the threat Russia continues to pose to the UK and the West. Exploding parcels sent across Europe, sabotage attacks and the use of criminal proxies are all part of Moscow’s campaign to destabilise those who support Ukraine. We ignore this at our peril.

Ingen har omdefinert noe. Vi som er på den normale høyresiden har ikke beveget oss noe som helst, mens den ytre høyresiden har beveget seg i en stadig mer ekstrem retning og dissene kreftene beskrives helt med rette for høyreekstreme. Og ikke bare av venstresiden. Skal være fullt mulig å se forskjell på normale konservative høyrepartier som Høyre i Norge, CDU i Tyskland, toryene i Storbritannia eller Renaissance i Frankrike og høyreekstreme/høyreradikale europeiske partier som for eksempel AfD i Tyskland, Fidesz i Ungarn, Norgesdemokratene i Norge eller Nasjonal Samling i Frankrike.

Mette Frederiksen sent i går kveld. I konteksten av Trumps nyligste trusler mot NATO i går, og hendelsene i Midtøsten er det en skarp uttalelse fra henne. Mette Frederiksen: USA er ikke længere Danmarks nærmeste allierede https://www.berlingske.dk/politik/mette-frederiksen-usa-er-ikke-laengere-danmarks-naermeste-allierede Statsminister Mette Frederiksen (S) siger søndag aften for første gang, at USA ikke længere er at betragte som Danmarks nærmeste allierede. Man har år efter år i en menneskealder kunne høre danske statsministre sige uden forbehold, at USA er Danmarks nærmeste allierede. Men det er nu slut. "Når man spørger, hvem vores nærmeste allierede er i dag, er det Europa, de nordiske lande og partnere som Canada," sagde Mette Frederiksen.

Ny seier, og det var en viktig en. Ser etterhvert lyst ut for CL. Bra kamp var det for det meste også. Begynner å bli få ord igjen å bruke om Bruno Fernandes nå, eller? Overlegent den beste spilleren i Premier League denne sesongen. Han har nå 16 assists til tross for å ha spilt over halve sesongen dypt på midtbanen i et lag som har slitt. Rekorden er 20 (Henry, De Bruyne). Han har skapt 103 sjanser (!) denne sesongen. Nærmeste spiller på den statistikken har 58... Han er oppe i 100+ mål og 100+ målgivende pasninger i alle turneringer (105 og 100). Han gjorde det på 318 kamper. For kontekst: Messi gjorde det på 319 for Barcelona, Ronaldo gjorde det på 325 for Real Madrid. – Casemiro: 7 mål denne sesongen til nå, flere mål spillere som Saka, Cherki, Gakpo, Marmoush, Doku, Silva, Wirtz, Delap og Gordon. Har vært utrolig viktig for dette laget. – Sesko: Oppe i 9 mål nå. 8 på sine 10 siste kamper. Bare 22 år. Toppscorer hittil i 2026. Spennende fremtid!

IDF planning 3 more weeks of operations to systematically degrade Iran’s defense industry https://www.timesofisrael.com/idf-planning-3-more-weeks-of-operations-to-systematically-degrade-irans-defense-industry/ Officials say military operating ahead of schedule, but still has thousands more targets to hit; IDF claims to see declining morale among Iranian soldiers. The Israel Defense Forces’ campaign in the joint war with the United States against Iran is proceeding according to plan, and at a faster pace than initially expected, military officials said on Sunday, with strikes on Iran’s defense industries expected to further ramp up alongside ongoing efforts to reduce missile fire on Israel. Despite being apparently ahead of schedule, the military has said it is preparing for at least three more weeks of operations in Iran, as it still has thousands more targets to hit, both in Tehran and in other parts of the country. “We have thousands of targets ahead,” IDF Spokesman Brig. Gen. Effie Defrin told CNN on Sunday. “We are ready, in coordination with our US allies, with plans through at least the Jewish holiday of Passover, about three weeks from now. And we have deeper plans for even three weeks beyond that.”

Det illustrerer problemet godt - først en bruker som tar én linje fra et langt innlegg helt ut av kontekst, og vips så har man flere brukere som diskuterer noe som hverken er sagt eller ment i det opprinnelige innlegget. Slik blir andres meninger fordreid.